this might give you a bit of info:
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601082&sid=aSv0xTjQb._I&refer=canadaTropical Storm Fay Makes Landfall Over Florida Keys (Update4)
By Brian K. Sullivan and Jerry Hart
Enlarge Image/Details
Aug. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Tropical Storm Fay made landfall over Key West, Florida, today after killing about a dozen people on its path through the Caribbean.
The storm may hit the state's west coast between Naples and Tampa Bay tomorrow, packing winds of at least 74 miles (119 kilometers) per hour. Crude oil fell as the storm is expected to miss oil rigs in the Gulf of Mexico.
The storm was heading north-northwest at 14 mph, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said in an advisory on its Web site.
``Late tonight or tomorrow we should see it strengthen to hurricane status,'' said Jim Rouiller, a senior energy meteorologist with Planalytics Inc. in Wayne, Pennsylvania.
Fay's maximum sustained winds were about 60 miles per hour at 2 p.m. Miami time, strengthening from 50 mph earlier, the center statement said. A storm becomes a hurricane once sustained winds reach 74 mph.
Fay's winds should strengthen to at least that speed when it reaches Florida, making it a Category 1 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Scale, Rouiller said.
There is a ``distinct chance'' the storm will fail to attain hurricane strength before landfall if it deviates from the expected path, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Rigs Spared
Rouiller said the track will spare most of the oil and natural gas rigs in the Gulf of Mexico, which is home to about a fifth of U.S. oil production.
``It looks like minimal type of risk to the rigs,'' Rouiller said by telephone. ``They have dodged a bullet with this one.''